Journal article

Epigenetic Predictors of Smoking: External Validation and Association With Smoking-Related Cancer Risk.

Xiaoyu Fan, Danmeng Lily Li, Allison M Hodge, Julie K Bassett, Nina Afshar, Melissa C Southey, Graham G Giles, Roger L Milne, Pierre-Antoine Dugué

Int J Cancer | Published : 2026

Open access

Abstract

Tobacco smoking has a strong influence on DNA methylation (DNAm), enabling the development of DNAm-based smoking predictors, yet external evaluations of these have remained limited. We aimed to assess six DNAm-based smoking predictors in a large sample of middle-aged and older Australians for (i) their accuracy and reliability, and (ii) their association with risk of smoking-related cancers. We used blood DNAm data from the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study to calculate six DNAm-based smoking predictors (EpiSmokEr, Elliott-183, McCartney-233, DNAmPACKYEARS, PCPACKYEARS, and mCigarette). Accuracy with respect to self-reported smoking pack-years (N = 2875, median age: 61 years) was assessed..

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